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Trivial simulation to see if "bar raising" exponentially increases # of interviews
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| using Statistics | |
| using Plots | |
| function generate_candidates(;n=1) | |
| return 100 .+ (15 .* randn(n, 1)) | |
| end | |
| N_HIRES = 100 | |
| N_REPS = 1000 | |
| time_to_hire = zeros(N_HIRES, N_REPS) | |
| for rep= 1:N_REPS | |
| team = generate_candidates(n=10) | |
| for i = 1:N_HIRES | |
| bar = median(team) | |
| n_seen = 1 | |
| while (c = generate_candidates(n=1)[1]) < bar | |
| n_seen += 1 | |
| end | |
| team[rand(1:length(team))] = c | |
| time_to_hire[i, rep] = n_seen | |
| end | |
| end | |
| plot(mean(time_to_hire, dims=2)) |
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