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library(MCMCpack)
## Coping with polls: the more recent, the better they are.
##http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_Scottish_independence_referendum,_2014
polls = NULL
polls <- data.frame( rbind(
Survation = c(37, 50, 1010),
YouGov = c(35, 55, 1142),
TNSBMRB = c(32, 45, 1003),
IpsosMORI = c(40, 54, 1006),