[bookmarket](javascript:function() {var qData = window.metacData.question;var qInfo = qData.possibilities;if (qInfo.type !== "continuous" || qInfo.format !== "num" || qInfo.scale.deriv_ratio !== 1) { return alert("Elicit only works for numerical questions on a linear scale (for now)");} var qId = window.location.href.match(/metaculus.com/questions/(\d+)//)[1]; window.location = "http://elicit.ought.org/builder?q_id=" + qId;}())
Ben Rachbach brachbach
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| ˇÿˇ‡ JFIF ˇ‚¯ICC_PROFILE Ëappl mntrRGB XYZ ◊ acspAPPL ˆ÷ ”-appl rXYZ , gXYZ @ bXYZ T wtpt h chad | ,rTRC ® gTRC ∏ bTRC » vcgt ÿ ndin Ï >desc , ddscm ê ˛mmod ê (cprt ∏ -XYZ n¸ = XYZ b≈ ´µ ÎXYZ % c ™$XYZ ÛR œsf32 B fiˇˇÛ& í ˝ëˇˇ˚¢ˇˇ˝£ ‹ ¿lcurv Õ curv Õ curv Õ vcgt ¯Òıπ‚ | |
| ó – | |
| Ò~ºÏu≠‚`ùŸY é à L Å!æ#F$h%r&•(;)?)º*Q+-;/70<18213256%6´7)8-9ÿ; ;™<3=ø?@¸B÷D!E≠F„GÒIJ°K÷LÊNOñP»Q–RÃS…T∆UƒV¡WæXºYπZ∑[¥\©]Å^&^fl_±`•a£b°cüdùeúfögòhóiïjîkílëmênéoçpyq | |
| q±råsâtáuávÜwÜx|yyùzÑ{Ñ|Ñ}Ñ~ÄéÄëÇÉÉÖÑåÜÜáààAàÍâãääããååççééèèêëëíííììúîóïôñõóòò òÆô°ö£õ§úüù*ù≈ûÆü؆≤°¥¢©£:£‚§¿•¡¶ƒß«®»©µ™P´´⁄¨Ÿ≠›Æ‡Ø‰∞„±»≤l≥&≥˛¥˙µ˛∂˚∑⁄∏ÖπC∫ ªºΩΩÒæ£øc¿=¡6¬;√5ƒƒÀ≈É∆^«X»^…c iÀnÃiÕDŒŒÆœê–ê—ñ“õ”ú‘x’,’…÷ª◊¿ÿ∆ŸÕ⁄”€⁄‹·›‡firflflÓ‡•·`‚‚™„‰¢Ê)Á˘Ë≥ÈxÍUÎRÏZÌaÓiÔqyÒÅÚâÛëÙôıòˆu˜4˜fi¯∆ |
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| try { | |
| var qData = window.metacData.question; | |
| var qInfo = qData.possibilities; | |
| var genericError = "For now, elicit only works for numerical questions on a linear scale."; | |
| if (qInfo.type === "binary") { | |
| alert("This is a binary question. " + genericError); | |
| } else if (qInfo.format === "date") { | |
| alert("This is a date question. " + genericError); | |
| } else if (qInfo.scale.deriv_ratio !== 1) { |
brachbach
/ bookmarklet.md
Last active
May 25, 2020 20:00
Bookmarklet: answer Metaculus question with Elicit
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| var jq = document.createElement('script'); | |
| jq.src = "https://ajax.googleapis.com/ajax/libs/jquery/2.1.4/jquery.min.js"; | |
| document.getElementsByTagName('head')[0].appendChild(jq); | |
| // ... give time for script to load, then type (or see below for non wait option) | |
| jQuery.noConflict(); | |
| const flip = (p=0.5) => { | |
| return Math.random() < p | |
| } |
brachbach
/ covid-testing-06-Apr-all-observations.csv
Created
April 7, 2020 01:07
We can make this file beautiful and searchable if this error is corrected: It looks like row 5 should actually have 9 columns, instead of 2 in line 4.
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| Entity,Date,Source URL,Source label,Notes,Cumulative total,Daily change in cumulative total,Cumulative total per million,Daily change in cumulative total per million | |
| Australia - units unclear,2020-03-22,https://www1.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/novel_coronavirus_2019_ncov_weekly_epidemiology_reports_australia_2020.htm,Australian Department of Health,,143056,,5632.53024026095, | |
| Australia - units unclear,2020-03-29,https://www1.health.gov.au/internet/main/publishing.nsf/Content/novel_coronavirus_2019_ncov_weekly_epidemiology_reports_australia_2020.htm,Australian Department of Health,They say 'Number of tests performed'. Unclear but probably means people tested based on the fact they then report the share of these who tested postitive in brackets,211261,,8317.95919841018, | |
| Australia - units unclear,2020-04-02,https://www.covid19data.com.au/testing,Federal Department of Health,Most recent figure provided by Federal Department of Health.,261000,,10276.3281002412, | |
| Australia - units unclear,2020- |
brachbach
/ monthly_unemployment_wide.csv
Last active
April 21, 2020 18:02
From https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000
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| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1948 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 4.0 | |
| 1949 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 6.6 | 7.9 | 6.4 | 6.6 | |
| 1950 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.3 | |
| 1951 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.1 | |
| 1952 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.7 | |
| 1953 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 4.5 | |
| 1954 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 5.0 | |
| 1955 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.2 | |
| 1956 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 4.3 | 4.2 |
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| class HelloWorld: | |
| def __init__(self, name): | |
| self.name = name.capitalize() | |
| def sayHi(self): | |
| print "Hello " + self.name + "!" | |
| hello = HelloWorld("world") | |
| hello.sayHi() |